Plaincast — the National Weather Service forecast, decoded into plain English

Plaincast

What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.

Plaincast decodes the National Weather Service's Area Forecast Discussion — the real forecast, written 3 to 4 times a day by the meteorologist on shift — into plain English. The discussion is where a forecaster explains their reasoning: which models disagree, what they are watching, and how confident they are. Below is the current edition for Cincinnati, with its shorthand expanded. The full experience — an AI plain-English summary beside the annotated original — loads with JavaScript, and every one of the 68 forecast offices has its own edition.

Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service Cincinnati (ILN) · issued Friday, November 13 at 6:35 AM EST.

Messages

Below normal temperatures will continue through the weekend. Some additional rain showers will occur today.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1. Mid level closed low will develop this morning over western Pennsylvania with two substantial short waves rotating through the flow. Primary energy from these two disturbances will largely stay west and south of the region. So mid level forcing will be minimal. Low level cold air advection will persist this morning and then become more neutral.

Remaining showers will continue to off to the south early this morning. Additional spotty showers will be possible through the day with the exception of central Ohio where there is a better chance of more concentrated activity, although even with that expected rainfall is light.

Below normal temperatures will persist through the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2. Mid level long wave trough will move east to start the week which will allow heights to rise. There will be a system opening up as it pass south of the area early in the week, but this will be far enough south to have no impact other than perhaps temporarily delaying further height rises. Mid level ridge axis will eventually spread over the area on Wednesday and then slide southeast on Thursday. Surface high pressure will prevail through the week with southerly flow returning Wednesday into Thursday.

This will result in quiescent conditions and a warming trend. Temperatures will rise back above normal by Wednesday.

This is the plain-text edition, decoded without AI so it loads anywhere. Read the whole Cincinnati discussion at /o/ILN/, see what changed since the last one, or open The National Desk for where the weather is today.

Data from the National Weather Service. Translated by Claude. About · For developers & agents · Subscribe: RSS feed for this office · Source on GitHub