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Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service Milwaukee (MKX) · issued Monday, July 27 at 3:21 PM CDT.
Revised in 10 passages since the 12:25 AM discussion. See every revision.
Messages
Strong to severe thunderstorms ending late this afternoon over far se WI.
Extreme Heat Warning in effect for south central Wisconsin into early evening.
High swim risk conditions are expected to develop early Tuesday morning and continue into Wednesday morning along all Lake Michigan beaches due to high waves and currents expected. A Beach Hazard Statement has been issued for all Lake Michigan counties.
Short Term
Much of the strong to severe convection will exit se WI late this afternoon. Otherwise, low pressure around 1000 mb over central WI will track sewd to the Lower Great Lakes by 09-12Z Tue. Its cold front will pass late this afternoon and evening but with only slight chances for showers and storms due to the lack of upper dynamics and warm air aloft. The low and its upper wave will then slow and occlude over the Mid Atlantic States to New England through Thursday. Nly winds will cool high temperatures to lower to middle 80s for Tue including much lower relative humidity. A ridge of high pressure will then prevail Tue nt-Thu AM with pleasant summer wx and high temperatures rising each day in the 90s.
Long Term
Nwly flow aloft will prevail during this period with embedded shortwave troughs. Shower and storm chances will rise to 50-60 percent for Fri-Sat. High temperatures in the 80s are expected each day.
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