Messages
Elevated fire weather conditions today in the Burney Basin and parts of the northeast foothills due to low humidity and breezy conditions.
Widespread Moderate HeatRisk Friday through the weekend for the Valley and Foothills.
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Revised in 7 passages since the 11:24 AM discussion. See every revision.
Discussion
Current conditions across the area have clear skies and warming temperatures into the 90s today. Warmest conditions in the northern Sacramento Valley. Dry conditions are expected today, with breezy west to southwesterly winds at times in the Sacramento region and parts of the northeastern foothills into the Burney Basin. Lowest relative humidity values are within the northeastern foothills and into the Burney Basin. This has prompted elevated fire weather concerns for the northeastern foothills into the Burney Basin through this evening. Winds will be lighter Tuesday and Wednesday across the area, but the heat and dry conditions remain.
The synoptic ridge supplying the dry and hot temperatures across central CONUS will continue to build back toward the west through the end of the week and into the weekend. This will help increase our temperatures and drop our humidity values. Confidence continues to increase for widespread Moderate HeatRisk Friday through the weekend for the Valley and Foothills. Temperatures will be in the 100-110 range, with the warmest in the northern Sacramento Valley. There is increasing chances for a heat related product end of the week and into the weekend for parts of the Valley and Foothills. We will continue to assess conditions and latest guidance for any potential product. Relative humidity values during this time will be on the low end, with potential to see single digit values into portions of the area. We will monitor and reassess the need for any fire weather headline during the peak of the heat/dry conditions this weekend.
Looking beyond the weekend into next week, confidence begins to dwindle for continued heat concerns as models are diverging on the pattern aloft. If the pattern where to break down, conditions would start to cool off to more seasonable temperatures. If the pattern remains with a ridge building across the area, the heat would continue. Plan ahead if your headed out this weekend and bring along extra hydration.
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