The National Desk — where the weather is today · Plaincast

From the forecasters' discussion, in their words

A southern-stream shortwave trough centered over northwest Texas/western Oklahoma this morning will continue to drift east-southeastward today, generally weakening as it approaches east Texas and the ArkLaTex late tonight. Ahead of this system, there will be relatively limited temporal opportunity for an appreciable inland/northward flux of moisture. It is possible that stronger storms will tend to remain focused offshore in the relatively richer maritime air mass, such as is occurring this morning off the lower/middle Texas coast, but some severe potential could nonetheless materialize in middle/lower coastal areas, primarily within 50-75 miles of the immediate coast this afternoon. In close proximity to the slow-moving/stalled front, the 12z observed sounding from KCRP/Corpus Christi sampled around 2000 J/kg MUCAPE with upwards of 50 knot deep-layer shear. A somewhat more unstable environment will exist and persist longer south-southwestward across Deep South Texas, but the likelihood of inland deep convection is a bit more uncertain with south-southwestward extent, but a couple of severe storms could occur prior to the cold front shifting offshore by early evening.