The National Desk — where the weather is today · Plaincast

A tornado risk may persist for another hour or two across north-central KS and vicinity. Storms ongoing across this area will increasingly encounter a less favorable environment with time and northeast extent as a midlevel dry slot continues to spread east/northeast across the area. Additionally, cooler temperatures near/along a weak warm front near the KS/NE border and loss of daytime heating will result in increasing low-level inhibition. Furthermore, the strengthening low-level, which has likely recently contributed to at least a couple of tornado reports will continue to shift east and become misaligned with the nearly stationary surface low. As a result, the tornado risk should decrease through the remainder of the evening. Nevertheless, a couple of strong storms could still produce gusty winds into the nighttime hours. Reference MCD 2341 for more details.

Convection is expected to continue increasing over the next few hours across the southern Plains along a surface trough. A modestly unstable airmass will persist into the nighttime hours. Sufficient effective shear magnitudes will support at least transient updraft organization through the evening. Strong gusts will be the main hazard with convection into late evening/early overnight. Vertically veering wind profiles through 2-3 km also will support increased effective SRH within the moist airmass. A brief spin-up could occur with stronger/better organized convection.