What the forecast actually says
Loading…
Area Forecast Discussions are the real forecasts, written 3 to 4 times daily by NWS meteorologists reading the models and interpreting what they mean for your area. They offer far deeper insight than any weather app, but they're written in dense meteorological shorthand. Plaincast uses Anthropic's Claude to summarize them into plain English, side by side with the annotated original.
Revised in 3 passages since the 1:21 PM discussion. See every revision.
Hotter than normal temperatures will continue through the end forecast period, with dangerous and potentially record breaking temperatures expected beginning Thursday.
Isolated thunderstorm activity will be limited to Mohave County through Tuesday, with things drying out area-wide during the second half of the week.
Dry conditions prevail across the region this afternoon with just a scattering of fair weather cumulus across the southern Great Basin and northwest Arizona. We may see an isolated shower or thunderstorm across northern Mohave County by this evening but in general drier conditions have overspread the area with limited convective coverage expected the remainder of the week going forward.
As the moisture profile decreases, our focus will shift to warming temperatures late in the week as a large H500mb ridge builds westward out of the Southern Plains. Ensemble agreement remains high for an expansive 600dm high to build across the Southwest Friday and Saturday, which may challenge all-time August records for some locations across the Mojave Desert region. This will also result in widespread high to extreme heat risk across much of the middle and lower elevations for several days in a row. For more information regarding exactly which records are in jeopardy later this week, see the CLIMATE section below.
This is the plain-text edition, decoded without AI so it loads anywhere. The full Plaincast experience — plain-English summaries beside the annotated original, with the forecast changelog — loads automatically with JavaScript, or open the interactive edition.