What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service Pueblo (PUB) · issued Friday, November 13 at 6:30 AM MST.
Revised in 3 passages since the 4:51 AM discussion. See every revision.
Messages
Another nice day today although it will be a few degrees cooler than yesterday.
Snow moves into the San Juans this evening, with heaviest precipitation tomorrow morning, precipitation decreasing later in the afternoon.
Shower over the plains saturday, best chance late Saturday over far SE CO. SNOW (light accums) is possible N El Paso county Saturday evening.
Dry from later Sunday into midday Tuesday.
Another mountain snow event late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Unsettled late week as a LARGE Pacific trough closes off over the California region. Significant mtn snows likely (eventually) as strong trough moves east over intermountain west.
Update
Quick update made to put up a dense fog advisory for Kiowa and Prowers counties through 10 AM this morning based on webcams and obs.
Short Term
As quiet as the last week was weatherwise, this upcoming week will likely be the opposite. The ridge which has been over the region will be replaced a series of Pacific storm systems that will move over the region starting tonight and lasting into next week(end).
For the immediate short term, we will likely see some fog over the eastern plains tonight as cooler air moves over the plains and low level moisture increases. Fog could reach as far east a KPUB, but the brunt of it will be over the US-50 corridor from Pueblo east, and also over most of Prowers and Baca counties.
For today, one more mild day is likely, although it will be a few degrees cooler today than yesterday. Clouds will steadily increase over the region as the day progresses.
Snow showers will move into the San Juans this evening, with the precipitation gradually picking up as the night progresses, Snow levels will likely be at 9000 feet, gradually decreasing below 9000 feet by Sunrise.
Long Term
For Saturday, snow will fall across the mountains with snow levels in the 8000's through the day, with values slowly decreasing as the day progresses. Heaviest precipitation will occur Saturday morning across the eastern San Juan mountains, with the precipitation decreasing later in the day. A total of 4 to 7 inches of snow will be likely above 9000 feet.
It will be cloudy over the entire region Saturday and it will be noticeably cooler region-wide. It will become rather windy (south winds) over the far eastern plains. Showers will develop over the I- 25 corridor by mid morning with the activity pushing onto the eastern plains later in the day. The storm system is expected to wrap up somewhat as it moves over the plains, and this will allow for some heavier precipitation to occur over the far southeast plains late in the day and into the evening hours.
As the storm wraps up, cooler air will spread southward on the backside of the system, and we may see some light accumulations of snow across N El Paso county Saturday evening.
Sunday. any showers over the eastern plains will push into KS by late morning. Otherwise it will dry out with sun returning to the region. It will be cool Sunday with mainly temperatures around 50 over the plains and valleys.
Monday. Sunny and mild with highs in the 50s plains/valleys.
Tuesday. Mild once again with 60s returning to the plains, mid 50s valleys. Another strong Pacific trough will move towards the region. This system is a fairly stout mid level trough but it will move over us as an open wave, and most of the forcing will stay to the north and west of us. Nonetheless, west to southwest mid level moist flow will bring snows to mainly the Continental Divide region, and several inches of wind driven snow will be likely, especially Tuesday night into early Wednesday.
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