What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Plaincast decodes the National Weather Service's Area Forecast Discussion — the real forecast, written 3 to 4 times a day by the meteorologist on shift — into plain English. The discussion is where a forecaster explains their reasoning: which models disagree, what they are watching, and how confident they are. Below is the current edition for Tampa Bay, with its shorthand expanded. The full experience — an AI plain-English summary beside the annotated original — loads with JavaScript, and every one of the 68 forecast offices has its own edition.
Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service Tampa Bay (TBW) · issued Friday, September 11 at 8:41 AM EDT.
Messages
The wet pattern will continue through the weekend and into early next week, with numerous thunderstorms developing each day. Gusty winds and localized flooding will be possible with the strongest storms.
Seasonably hot and humid conditions will persist each day. Highs in the lower 90s will feel more like 100 to 105 due to the humidity.
Update
Morning TBW sounding continues to indicate abundant moisture, precipitable water a little over 2 inches, with slightly stronger southerly flow at around 11 knots. The rest of the morning should remain quiet over land with scattered convection over the coastal waters. Should then see convection develop along the sea breezes and move inland this afternoon with highest chance of rain extending from southwest Florida north across the interior later this afternoon and early evening. Overall forecast looks on track with no changes needed at this time.
This is the plain-text edition, decoded without AI so it loads anywhere. Read the whole Tampa Bay discussion at /o/TBW/, see what changed since the last one, or open The National Desk for where the weather is today.