What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Plaincast decodes the National Weather Service's Area Forecast Discussion — the real forecast, written 3 to 4 times a day by the meteorologist on shift — into plain English. The discussion is where a forecaster explains their reasoning: which models disagree, what they are watching, and how confident they are. Below is the current edition for San Antonio, with its shorthand expanded. The full experience — an AI plain-English summary beside the annotated original — loads with JavaScript, and every one of the 68 forecast offices has its own edition.
Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service San Antonio (EWX) · issued Friday, September 11 at 5:42 AM CDT.
Messages
Low rain chances today over the coastal plains, Hill Country, southern Edwards Plateau and portions of the I-35 corridor.
Temperatures remain above normal through the forecast period, with continued concerns for maximum temperatures and peak heat index values near Heat Advisory levels this weekend.
Most areas remain dry into next week, except for some low rain chances over the coastal plains.
Short Term
(Today through Saturday) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026
A weak, mid-level low will persist across the northwestern Gulf today, with northwest to north flow aloft over south central Texas. A weak disturbance embedded in the northwest flow aloft will move out of west central Texas into portions of central Texas today. Most of the hi-res models show potential for some convection today from the Hill Country into portions of the I-35 corridor near Austin, then southeastward toward the coastal plains. We will keep rain chances low, generally around 20%, with the late afternoon and evening hours favored for convection. On Saturday, mid and upper level high pressure builds in from the west, forcing the low pressure in the northwestern Gulf southward. Subsidence should limit the chance for convection on Saturday and we will keep the forecast dry for all areas at this time.
Temperatures on Friday will be similar to today, with highs in the mid 90s to lower 100s. Peak heat index values today may briefly reach 108 degrees over the coastal plains this afternoon. We should see an upward trend in high temperatures on Saturday as the low- level thermal ridge sharpens in response to an increase in mid and upper level high pressure to our north. At this time, current trends suggest we may need a Heat Advisory for areas generally along and east of I-35 on Saturday.
This is the plain-text edition, decoded without AI so it loads anywhere. Read the whole San Antonio discussion at /o/EWX/, see what changed since the last one, or open The National Desk for where the weather is today.