What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Area Forecast Discussion · National Weather Service San Antonio (EWX) · issued Friday, November 13 at 5:14 AM CST.
Revised in 2 passages since the 12:07 AM discussion. See every revision.
Messages
Dry weather with temperatures at or above normal through today.
Rain chances return to the Rio Grande plains late tonight, then spread east across the remainder of the region Saturday and Sunday.
Temperatures continue to trend cooler for early next week.
Short Term
(Today through Saturday) Issued at 1201 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026
A ridge of high pressure aloft will keep South-Central Texas dry today. The low level flow will become southeasterly this afternoon. High temperatures today will be about the same as Thursday. The southeasterly flow will bring low level moisture up the Rio Grande. A mid to upper level trough will push into the region from the west and interact with the deep layer moisture to bring the beginning of rain chances after midnight tonight. Rain chances will spread from the northwest to the east through the day Saturday. Cloudy skies and rain showers will keep high temperatures down 5-10 degrees lower than today.
Long Term
(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 1201 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026
Deeper moisture will spread across our forecast area Sunday. As the upper trough moves across we can expect better rain chances. Models have continued to show only moderate rainfall totals with no significant impacts. The last rain chances will exit our eastern counties Sunday evening. An upper level ridge will move in starting Monday bringing dry weather back that will continue until mid-day Wednesday. Moisture will surge from the Gulf bringing low chances for rain Wednesday night and Thursday.
We don't expect any big temperature changes Sunday. After the rain moves away Monday winds will become northeasterly bringing in cooler, drier air. Models are showing cooler temperatures for Monday and Tuesday than they have the last few days. With low level flow becoming easterly to southeasterly warmer air will return for Wednesday and Thursday.
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