Plaincast
What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Revised in 2 passages since the 4:04 AM discussion. See every revision.
Substantially cooler conditions will arrive on today behind another cold front.
A Freeze Warning is currently in effect for portions of west and north Georgia for Saturday morning, and a Freeze Watch is in Sunday morning for all of north and central Georgia.
Dry conditions will persist from the weekend into early next week.
(Today through Saturday) Issued at 402 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026
Some updates right up front - Freeze Warning has been issued for portions of northern and western GA for Friday night through 9am Saturday morning where temperatures will drop from 29-32F (lower at elevation). A Freeze Watch has been issued for all of north and central Georgia for Saturday night into Sunday morning, which should be the coldest night of the season so far. This second freeze should be a hard freeze for much of north Georgia into the metro (temperatures at or below 28F).
Starting off the morning, a secondary cold front is driving through the state. Winds have kicked back up behind it despite the nighttime inversion (hooray advection) as pressure gradient tightens between surface low off the NE coast and large, broad surface high centered over Upper Great Plains and Canada. This surface high will continue to slide slowly to the south as the broad trough over the area continues to swing to the NE, pushing best upper level confluence into the Ohio River Valley. Looking at the dynamic tropopause, things get a bit complex into Saturday as a TPV retrogrades into the NE CONUS, causing the trough to stall out a bit and creating an anticyclonic rossby wave break upstream from it. Complexity aside, the net effect for us is to keep the surface high in place through at least Saturday night.
In plain English, what all the above means is that we will have some seasonably cool air that will lock into place across the forecast area for the next several days. precipitation chances look to be very close to zero - the one exception may be some of the more elevated locations of NE GA today, and even then I'd expect to see a few isolated flurries at most. Cold, dry air with winds slowly becoming calmer will bring temperatures to below freezing, hence the freeze watches and warnings. Highs Friday and Saturday will be in the 50s and 60s (colder in the mountains, where highs may not get out of the 30s and 40s at elevation). This is 10 to 15 degrees below average for many. Friday night will be cold, but Saturday night will be colder, prompting the need for the forecast area Freeze Watch then. We should achieve a hard freeze for many as mentioned above, and given we are at the edge of the typical agricultural season for many, this may bring an end to the frost/freeze program until the spring after consultation with our state contacts/partners.
(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 402 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026
The long term begins with a longwave trough transitioning along the eastern seaboard, with ridging building into the northern plains. For the weekend, expect the continuation of dry and cold conditions, with a freeze watch likely for the majority of our forecast area on Saturday night. Temperatures will remain below or near seasonal norms through Tuesday before afternoon highs increase into the low to upper 60s areawide by Wednesday afternoon. On Sunday, surface winds will shift toward the northeast along the periphery of a high pressure system moving into the Midwest, remaining so through the second half of next week. Otherwise, guidance continues to showcase a shortwave diving southeastward out of the southern plains, aiding the development of a surface low that will trek along the Gulf Coast on Tuesday. While this system moves along the Gulf, dry northeast winds and broader high pressure influences will limit moisture as most of the heavier showers or storms stay to the south of our area. That being said, a few stray showers can't be ruled out in our southernmost counties on Monday night into Tuesday morning. Otherwise, expect dry conditions with a warming trend into the second half of next week.
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Data from the National Weather Service. Translated by Claude. About · For developers & agents · Subscribe: RSS feed for this office · Source on GitHub