Plaincast
What the forecast actually says — NWS Area Forecast Discussions, decoded into plain English.
Revised in 3 passages since the 12:13 AM discussion. See every revision.
Breezy winds, dry air, dry soils, and mainly the lower humidity values will keep elevated fire concerns today.
Rain chances return to the area by Saturday night and look to linger into Monday morning.
A warming trend will begin early next week and continue into at least the middle of the week.
Upper-air pattern this morning features northwest flow aloft thanks to high pressure centered over New Mexico and a low pressure system across the northeast CONUS. Meanwhile, at the surface, our secondary cool front appears to have stalled out over our area, but will continue to push southward into Friday. This will bring a better push of some cooler air to the area for the weekend. An upper-level disturbance will begin moving into the southwest CONUS today, gradually pushing towards our area. It should arrive Saturday night into Sunday. Models are in pretty good agreement that we should start to see some rain chances return to the area by Saturday night into Sunday morning, lingering through the day Sunday, and then moving out by Monday morning. Right now it appears the greatest rainfall amounts will be across our east Texas counties, with some lower amounts spilling over into Louisiana. That being said, it doesn't look like a soaker by any means.
Rain ends by Monday morning and high pressure begins to build back into the area. Tis the season of low pressure back to high pressure and then back to low pressure. This building high pressure will be responsible for a warming trend as we head into the middle of next week and possibly persisting into next weekend, which would break our streak of cooler weekends that we have all enjoyed. A larger trough looks to begin digging southward through the western CONUS during the end of the period, which will be something worth keeping our eye on. /33/
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Data from the National Weather Service. Translated by Claude. About · For developers & agents · Subscribe: RSS feed for this office · Source on GitHub